Camera

2 Years (or was it 3?) ago, I rejoiced at the fact that I have a Kodak DX that allows me to capture 4.0 mega pixel photos and being a digital compact flash camera, I am happy to bring it around with me on overseas trips as well as gatherings or outings with friends. I was happy to be able to upload what I shoot and to me then, 4.0 mega pixel was a whooping lot of pixels and great resolution. So you can imagine what kind of country bumpkin I was.

A year back, I discovered SLR photography and decided that it was fun and one of the nice activities I am going to indulge in. I never own a SLR so despite using it for quite a long time in my months in Huang Cheng, I was happy to continue with it, so I entered Photography Society to play around with more lens and pick up more knowledge about cameras. Still, owning a DSLR is something I can hardly conceive. In fact, I promised myself to get a DSLR only when I saved enough of what I earned myself. Imagine my horror when I realised those young kids that are now becoming my juniors, those just a little older and are supposedly my seniors, are snapping away during festivals and events with their OWN DSLRs. I am angry for 2 reasons: They were blocking me (And I am supposed to be working for the school!) and they own those cameras they hold in their hands. As an amateur I am already okay with the slow, leisure shots but the high speed ones are really terrible for me, which is also partly the reason for bring angry with those freaks blocking me.

What a rant to make on Chinese New Year Eve anyway. Happy Pig Year!

Spam[s]

It’s been a real long time since I logged into my blog because I have been really busy with school work, and all the orientation for the new-comers and so on. It’s been a long month of January, full of crappy and seemingly meaningless work. The first thing on the dashboard that caught my eye when I logged in was the sheer amount of spam comments I received – 241. Well, that’s a great record for having a blog, which is so obscure no one really reads it.

Spam have now becomes such a common occurrence that I would consider it a freaky day when I log into Gmail with the Spam Folder empty. I’ll probably be expecting to do some stuff in my email even when I am not expecting any mail – because I am pretty sure there’s spam for me to clear. Thus, even the clicking on the spam folder, and then the button to select all spam mails, and finally the button to ‘Delete Forever’, is considered extremely productive work. In fact, while I have typed all these chunk of stuff, a new lame spam has just entered the spam folder. And I felt I attained some kind productivity by deleting that one.

That’s life in the modern age.

Boltzmann Distribution

Yea, I enjoy using laws of natural sciences to explain social sciences phenomena. I made an analogy about life from the kinetic energies of water molecules in a basin, I talked about equilibriums and closed-systems much like those in thermodynamics, and I discussed about really unrelated science theories and laws and apply them on human interactions. There’s one particular law in science that I am particularly interested in applying but never had a chance to. It’s the Maxwell-Boltzmann Distribution and I thought if there’s this day, when our income distribution follows that, capitalism would never have met its rival, communism at all.

I am not sure if it comes naturally to you all but the Maxwell-Boltzmann Distribution presents the idea that the smaller the pie to share, the stronger the tendency for some big guys to just snatch it away and stuff it into his mouth. Conversely, if the pie gets bigger, the tendency that it is shared becomes greater. Taking the ‘kinetic energy of particles’, which is the x-axis of the distribution curve as ‘wealth of individuals’ and the ‘probability density’ as the y-axis, and the temperature increments as total wealth aggregation, you will be able to visualize how we apply this distribution to the economics. I acknowledge that inequality will remain, and the beauty about this distribution that we have this hope, that while aggregate wealth increases, the inequality gap can be closed – or at least we are tending toward an asymptotic closing of the gap. Wishful Thinking.

Game Analysis

Got introduced to this game and its solution. I generalized the solution to apply to any figures. And yes, I was the second player and the first variant of the game was played – so I lost, though it was out of luck rather than strategy (I wasn’t tabulating the numbers).

A and B are individuals taking turns to call out numbers from x-y (numbers ‘x’ to ‘y’, with x y).

In this scenario, the first player will have an advantage and there are focal points within the games that have to be considered by both players. These points are the numbers ‘m – (x+y)’, ‘m – 2(x+y)’ and so on until the number is one that’s between ‘x’ and ‘y’. The first player will be able to force a win by reaching these numbers starting first. For a change in game scenario such that the first who reach the ‘m’ loses, the second player has an advantage. This game formula is useful for similar variations.

Discussing Happiness

I am not really happy with the current ending I have written for the article/essay entitled ‘Happiness Equation’. I thought there’s so much more space to develop, to delve into and uncover all the mysterious forces that’s dictating our happiness in this world of ours. I am thinking of expanding the writing into a bigger research and so I can have my citations together with more advance references.

I thought as a peripheral interest, I’ll reveal how all-encompassing the research will be. The whole issue and argument about equality and inequality stems from philosophical studies as well as natural sciences investigating the natural states of things. This time, because it involves more of human beings, there’s anthropological implications that delve into human nature and thus the ‘flow of wealth’ as a result of that. That would be very close to economics, which brings us into social sciences that involves mathematical models to predict capital flows and I might be probing into how ‘Trickle-down Economies’ is a scam (or at least do not occur in reality most of the time) and try to explain why so.

More empirical evidence relating perceived inequality and unhappiness is required to back this study because the entire research rest on this but I think I am very much right on track. And more importantly, the whole idea about ‘slacking’, literally – whether it is feasible on a large scale and whether it would be considered an ‘advancement’ for mankind – one that’s so preoccupied with development and production for the past few centuries has to be explored more in-depth. At this moment, game-theoretical models have to be evoked to explain the behaviours of individuals subjected this sort of ‘slacking’ pact.

A major component I need to sort out is the inequality that results from Capitalism, all at least the kind of economic system that’s used at a universal at this point of time. Das Kapital may have the answer to my queries but I need a deeper understanding of the differences between the system described by Marx and the system that’s currently being implemented in different nations. This is a great ‘Introductory to Macroeconomics’ project.

Happiness Equation

After reading and thinking about quite a couple of issues that seem to cross morals, philosophy and economics, I thought it would be nice to try and explain, in economic terms, the way our incentive system may have changed (more than ever, by circumstances and training) and thus the forces dictating how happy we are. This is probably the longest academic piece I have written on this blog; I spent about 2 hours getting this essay/article’s argument right, so intellectuals, enjoy.

***

In the 23rd December The Economist issue, the featured article was about Happiness and measuring it to replace existing measures of standards of living and thus the way in which we think and perceive ‘advanced economies’. It highlighted the existence of positional goods and explained why people did not stop working (and start slacking) long after they manage to get past the subsistence level. That, directly puts the blame of the post-modern unhappiness on inequality.

Inequality has lingered around eternally, and in most system, it is self-correcting, being perpetuated as cyclical conventions – wind is brought about by unequal pressures within a closed system (thus inequality is eliminated when the wind blows), a hydropower plant is possible because of unequal potential energy in water present on different heights (which is why the water flows down and generate the electricity), and even our economic cycles, can be explained by some unbalanced supply demand interactions that occurs at a macroeconomic scale. In other systems, it does not correct itself but relies on purely artificial mechanisms installed to facilitate the process – without progressive tax, at least theoretically, the rich will remain much richer than they could have been and poor would not enjoy much subsidies, in other words, it seems inevitable that inequality must prevail in many cases. You won’t expect money to flow from the rich to the poor by itself because of the gradient unless the everyone in the world are blessed with the ability only to make wealth but not to retain them.

In human’s case of equality, there’s a huge internal conflict that makes things difficult to solve. There’s 2 basic laws in the idea of equality: (1) All equals are equals and (2) All unequals are unequal. That may sound abstract but a simple analogy provides us sufficient insights into this internal conflict present in the whole idea of equality itself. The first law suggests that we should all pay the same fares for the public bus, but the second law suggests that those with lower income or spending power should enjoy lower fares. It is a problem of identity overlap: When both persons are taking the bus, they should be considered equal in that aspect, but when looking at their financial status reveals otherwise, they are not equal in some other aspects. This forces the first law to contradict the second law in entirely different contexts that simply must be packaged together and this leaves things unsolved – and keeps debates alive.

So we’ll believe, for a moment that equality is impossible. Consider also that equality is not necessarily good – for inequality ensures order. If all are equal, will you have the incentive to rid your boss and grab his properties? Would you be grabbing policemen’s pistols and shooting those you hate? Because of inequality – you are a civilian while he is a policeman (a matter of both status, how you are viewed by the law and perceived by others), that prevents you from really doing what you may have done unless you are indeed a nutcase. More importantly, inequality keeps the economy running. While capitalism allows most people to gain access to better goods as time passes is because it also worsens the gradient between the rich and the poor everytime things get better. That’s to say that as you just realized you can have a shelter over your head and rejoice about the merits of capitalism, the guy originally just 10 times richer than you is now 1000 times richer than you, owning 10 shelters that are 10 times better than yours and in locations with 10 times more accessibility to the vital nodes of the place (wherever it might be) is thinking of throwing a huge party to celebrate capitalism. Technological advances can close such gaps as fast as they increase the capacity for the gaps to expand – the reason you are getting better off is either because someone else is worse off, all those who are already very well off are even better off than ever.

So perhaps, do we rejoice at Inequality that keeps order and shall prevail? Hardly, for as I have demonstrated in the first paragraph, it is inequality that has the highest potential to bring about unhappiness. John Kenneth Galbraith mentioned in ‘The Affluent Society‘ that given the riches that we enjoy at this age relative to the past, we have greater capacity to enjoy life than ever, to put down our hammers and sickle, keyboard and mouse to ‘Stop and Stare’. It is, however, inequality – the perception that you can be even better off since there are those out there better than you that keeps you going on, though you would gladly slack off if everyone else makes a pact to do so. Then again, you may have the incentive to cheat once the pact takes effect and so would the others and the whole collusive behavior collapses. We are all reacting to the whole system such that once our position to shifted, perhaps higher, we are automatically displacing some lower down the list – the others respond by attempting to go back to their position, and the whole order of things disrupted, and it constantly is, because we cannot possibly accept the status quo position. In this scenario, it’s “be contented and you are as good as waiting for your turn to be at the end of the list”.

Someone’s going to point out: ‘Hey, material riches have nothing to do with happiness!’ Perhaps that’s true, but worldwide survey has placed the richest people at a much happier level than the others though the difference is not very much, contrary to our fairytale belief that wealthy people are shrewd and thus lonely, without friends and the segregation between classes makes things worse. In fact, rich people have more friends whether they have lousy personalities or not – people would want to try and get close to you for personal benefits. On the other side of the spectrum, the poorest of the world are often a little happier than those sandwiched because they are ignorant about the riches that are present in the other portions of the globe. In other words, if you are living in the African deserts all your life and seen only people very much like you, though you may encounter some brown mechanical monsters moving across the place sometimes, your perception that equality very much prevails keeps you happy. This would mean that the perception of equality is the key factor and not the whole idea of material comforts when considering the happiness of a person. Because we live in a globalized world, we experience greater unhappiness – we are able to perceive the inequality present and feel quite very powerless against it. But the same process of globalization also gives you the riches others perceive you to have – because the range of positions which you can now be in, you have more spaces to move up, and perhaps there’s more ‘contented people’ around whom you can displace.

The question now, is perhaps where we are heading and where we may reach. We are all trying to attain happiness and if we relate the happiness to the equality that we mentioned earlier, that would mean that we hope for equality, at least the perception of it. Unfortunately, we are all heading for greater ‘perceived inequality’ and that means a higher proportion of us would be unhappy despite the fact that everyone’s getting better off (remember, the scale is moving upwards, the net effect is that everyone are better off). The model can also be derived from the Law of Comparative Advantage (as well as Absolute Advantage) and why people still wants to go against trade. While trading raises the aggregate output and everyone would be better off than if they had not trade, people do not compare their own before and after state, they look at the disproportionate returns that each side get from trading. They will also compare the gap between each other before trading and after trading. The losing end won’t be feeling so happy after trading – the gap between you and the highest possible position you believe you can obtain is directly proportional to the unhappiness you feel. That’s perhaps a simple generalization that’s not worthy of your attention since you draw your emotions for a myraid of circumstances. You might like to note that the happiness here refers to general gladness of life – sorry for not making this clear earlier. Therefore, we are heading towards greater unhappiness if the happiness equation remains the same. If we want to use happiness as a measure of how well the countries are doing, if we want to mirror Gordon Brown’s ideas (and make an advancement in economic measurement), we’ll have to place more emphasis on the Gini coefficient, and stop trying to compare ourselves with those other nations in the region.

We are mere individuals acting within our perception of the totality of the system we are part of – we react to this totality that we perceive. We do not seek to see the nation as an aggregate that we contribute to and use this big picture to compare with other national aggregates. As far as we are concerned, there are others out there who are doing so much better, so much more well off, despite the fact that they merely put in the same efforts as we do. If you were wondering, before reading this long essay, why Singaporeans are not exactly happy, and curious about the reasons behind all the complaining, perhaps you now know why.

Little Ironies

Not too long ago, I was telling a few people in my family this:

In the life of every cup in our family (and probably millions of other families in the world), the water it ever contained is much less than the water used to wash it clean.

It was an irony, to poke fun at the fact that my family is a little too clean sometimes – too clean for our economic good. Of course, the fact that I declared has environmental implication but that’s not so much my central concern. But then I realized our self-regulating nature of our environment is full of ironies. I learnt, from Jared Diamond that successful forest fire fighting in United States resulted in ever worsening forest fires in current times. I also realised, from Thomas Schelling that in a ski resort, increasing the speed at which the chairlift brings people up the hill would not shorten the queues lining up to wait for the chairlift ride – instead, it will lengthen them.

And according to the latest survey on the brain by The Economist, it appears that while we believe that emotions always prevent us from making rational decisions, it is emotions that helps us make decisions because a emotionless mind simply knows the pros and cons of things, without the necessary fear that turns it away from the cons and anticipation or joy that draws it towards the pros. As a result, decisions can hardly be made by an emotionless mind. Having explained this, I guess I should naturally help readers understand the other two ironies I raised.

Successful forest fire fighting produces dense forest because vegetation that’s the most flammable and the irritating understory of the forest remains in place when it would be naturally wiped out by forest fires. That natural selection process, having been disturbed by human’s kind fire fighting efforts, makes the forest that’s supposed to have trees resistant to flames left standing rather spaced apart changed the landscape to a dense, ‘bushy’ forest overgrown with understory – extremely vulnerable to forest fires. That’s supposed to be why the forest fires that came up lately are harder to suppress and spreads much faster – leading to more hotspots. One more irony, or rather paradox – people don’t want deforestation that is necessary to make forest more resistant to fire, believing that it disturbs nature and yet can’t believe the fire department is going to fight future fires by letting forests burn down by natural fires to strengthen the forests’ resistance to flames.

And yes, the ski resort irony. The chairlift in ski resorts are continuous and so if people going on to the chairlifts are climbing up in the same speed as when the chairlifts are slightly slower, it means that the chairs have to be spaced further apart to allow more time for the people to climb on (relative to the speed at which the chairlift operates). This would in turn result in less chairs overall for the people. Well, in the ski resort, assuming that visitors number do not change before and after the adjustment in speed, people can only be doing a few things – skiing down the hill, queuing to go up the chairlifts, on the chairlifts or slacking somewhere else. Since those slacking somewhere else do not affect our equation, let’s assume they are constant in number and since those skiing down the hill will not be taking the chairlifts any time soon so we’ll also leave them out. That leaves us with 2 groups of people left – if there’s less people sitting in chairlifts at any moment, doesn’t that mean that more people will be in the queue? By the way, I must reiterate the fact that I picked this up from ‘MicroMotive and MacroBehaviour’ by Thomas Schelling, the 2005 Nobel Prize Economist (he wrote the book in 1971 though). I admit I koped this example.

Ironies are getting kind of irritating because I realised that the purpose that is always attached to some happenings is defeated due tp resulting or peripheral effects when it’s ironic. Unfortunately, life itself may be so as well (remember the part about living to die?).

Christmas Day

“Less than half of British children between the ages of seven and 11 are aware that Christmas is the celebration of the birth of Jesus, according to a BBC poll.” – AFP

The fact is, that it isn’t. At least not in the purest and most truthful sense. The New Testament of the Holy Bible gave no specific date of the birth of Jesus though we did spent quite a fraction of our attention in this lifetime listening to stories of ‘the King’ born in a stable, surrounded by animals and most notably, the arrival of the Three Wise Men who brought gifts for this special child. It was perhaps, Sextus Julius Africanus, a 3rd Century Christian Historian who popularized this day as the birthday of Christ.

Christmas is a festival choked with different cultures of the west and accumulated a host of different customs that was gathered from different religious/social influences. Therefore, it is hardly surprising that we consider it highly commercialized today – it was something much like the essence of globalization. The Pagans of Rome already had something much like Christmas Day, which gave us the part about Santa Claus, his elves and reindeer. The Christians originally celebrated Epiphany (6 January) and somehow, the dates were fused together by Western Churches and we thus have 12 days of Christmas – referring to the days (26 December – 6 January) after the Christmas feast. The ‘integration’ of the idea of Santa Claus (or Father Christmas) pushed the celebration back even earlier, to the Christmas eve – at least for the modern times.

In fact, traditionalist may insist that Christ was born on 6 January and the Irish considers this day ‘Little Christmas’. A pity BBC didn’t know, though the kids probably had no idea as well.

[Added on Boxing Day]

As an afterthought, I realized I didn’t take into account the fact that our calenders did change from the traditional Julian one to the current Gregorian calender. According to this mysterious comment-maker (whom I believe to be spam – due to the fact that the lame comment appeared in another post and not this), the Epiphany is supposed to be the Christmas Day adjusted from the Julian calender to the Gregorian one. And that 25 December is traditionally accepted to be the proper day given that we are using the Gregorian calender. In any case, no one would know when the Christ was born anyway.

Cleaning My Mac

I didn’t realize how dirty my laptop could get until I tried cleaning it. Sure, my iBook was the 12-inch white one that would definitely attract loads of dust and dirt but I have always took care of the cosmetic aspects of the iBook so it didn’t appear that dirty. It was only when I started moving wet tissue over the keyboard keys that I realized how dirty my fingers could have been when I was typing (for the last 3 years). I lifted the whole keyboard and cleaned the inside – the edges were surprisingly dusty. I seriously wonder how those dirty stuff got in there.

Then came the trackpad and the surroundings that looked a little yellowish – the ethanol on wet tissue did the job of getting rid of those stains. Now the ‘interior’ of the laptop looks much cleaner, so on to the base. I expected the base of the laptop to be the dirtiest but it was unexpectedly clean. I just went over it once and it remained as white. The top required an extra bit of effort but those didn’t deter me and soon, I got a iBook that looks as good as new.

My iBook just entered 3 years old this year, with it’s day of first usage sometime between 30 October to 1 September 2003. It’s a G3 so most new softwares cannot run on it anymore, that applies even for Google Sketchup, which is pretty sad. Fortunately, I have had several old, and outdated but nonetheless powerful softwares that allows me to get by with graphic design work and other miscellaneous stuff.

Much like my iBook, our minds have been around for quite some time. We are probably no longer ‘compatiable’ for news things at some point of time but that’s okay as long as we retain our powerful selves and not be swayed by the new and trendy stuff. More importantly, I guess we don’t realized how contaminated our thoughts or how corrupted our ideas have become in the process of existence in this reality. Like the dust or ash particles that pollute our air, reality is filled with vices and contaminants that will linger around our minds and we really should take time off to clean them off – that’s to say we should practice a little more thinking, about what we know and believe in, a process much like hard disk fragmentation and identification of bad clusters except this time, you can completely remove the corrupted documents with your willpower. Only so, would we not fall victims for the fallacies or untruths that we have to absorb to get by in reality and allow ourselves to be clean and new to the world every single day – to shed all the fatigue(ness) of being.

Stay on the tip of the rabbit’s fur. [With reference to ‘Sophie’s World’ by Jostein Gaarder]