Stuff to Read

The holidays left me a huge chunk of time with Wikipedia and it now seems that I can’t really stop that readily. I thought it would be nice for me to prescribe a few readings I did today so that I may take a break from all the reading I did in the day. Today’s readings will bring you through quite a couple of topics, ranging from the sciences to the humanities so you may need some background knowledge for each of the different subjects before embarking on them.

To begin, let’s start with a little stuff about logic and arguments. You might like to know a bit about the Reductio ad absurdum technique of rhetoric. To apply what you may have just learnt, it would be nice to know about the rather offending but otherwise hilarious Flying Spaghetti Monster, as recommended by the first article. While all the laughter ended, I was led into more serious stuff.

Unsure of the highest oxidation state of Phosphorus while I was working on a few Periodicity problems, I researched ‘P4O10’ and obtained Phosphorous Pentoxide, which from it’s name, confirmed I was right about the question; subsequently I found myself reading about Anthony Burgess’ The Wanting Seed while attempting to understand why Phosphorus glows. Oh yes, in case you are wondering about the inconsistency with the spellings ‘Phosphorus’ and ‘Phosphorous’ – I learnt that the word phosphorous is the adjectival form for the P3+ valency:

Just as sulphur forms sulphurous and sulfuric compounds, so phosphorus forms phosphorous compounds.

Returning to the original position where I started out, I got to know about Frederic Bastiat, an economist who employs the reductio ad absurdum to argue his case. For that matter, I read his ‘Candlemakers’ Peition’ to get a feel of his style.

If all these reading’s aren’t enough, I recommend going out to Kinokuniya and grabbing a copy of Tim Harford’s The Undercover Economist to understand the all-encompassing nature of Economics, before working on Stephen Levitt’s Freakonomics, which I guess came out a little too early (at least before most of us can get our Economics fundamentals right). I know, those prescribed cannot possibly be enough for a mind hungry for knowledge in a day so I think we’ll just end off everything with Jostein Gaarder’s Through a Glass, Darkly, a fiction I really liked (though I normally hate fictions) with a message about life I truly appreciate.

No Sleep

Just got to experience what it feels like to have no sleep at all in 48 hours or so. It is not fatigue that one feels, but extreme irritation (of the mind) and intense frustration. It is as though you become pissed off with nothing. It definitely feels as though there is no direct link between this and the lack of sleep but I guess the brain is failing to work well. For me, my brain started confusing emotions and rationality, intellect and lame-ness. Eventually, I was feeling pretty lost until I got to sleep, much later.

0.9999999…

Yes, so I was wrong. Wee Chern told me a few days back that the recurring decimal of 0.9999…. is equals to 1 exactly and I refused to believe him, highlighting that it will go on and cannot be rationalized. It is, perhaps against intuition to think that they are both equal given that recurring decimals are uncommon figures that we never thought would be rationalized, though we do know they can be expressed as fractions most of the time – and this is key to proving this seemingly absurd relation.

I can’t believe how simple this is and we simply can’t accept it for the first time we see the relation:

1/3 = 0.333333……
Multiply both sides by ‘3’.
3 * 1/3 = 3 * 0.333333……
Hence,
1 = 0.999999……

Mathematics have to be weird sometimes to challenge our intuition, just like the Monty Hall Problem.

Optimistic Economics

Seriously, I wonder if Economics is truly dismal because from what I learnt from Tim Harford, Economics always seem to make things more optimistic. That’s also partly because economists tend to be living on the richer side of the world and thus understand that the potential of things and tend to think towards the more hopeful side. This is true especially for David Ricardo who managed to make a fortune out of the study. The gloomy part is almost only about the inequality. But as John Kenneth Galbraith has pointed out about inequality, the problem becomes less of a problem when basic demands are satisfied. That being true, consider John Locke’s notion that all man have a limited capacity for consumption, therefore, even if unlimited acculmulation of wealth is possible with money, the marginal utility of acculmulation should drop theoretically as one grows rich.

Having reconciled the problems with theories and concepts, the study now should focus on the real world application. As a social science, it should be cutting down the barriers to attaining the highly functional world that it postulate to be possible. We all know the problems and in fact, we have a clue what the solutions are. Unfortunately, nothing is initiated such that things can be solved smoothly – or maybe they are only initiated to an extremely limited extent. But either way, the long term theory suggests that things would be better and definitely need not be worst as long as the attitudes of man don’t change. That’s to assume that economics remains to be as important as it is.

That requires us to realise that economics can answer environmental problems and despite the fact that the 2 fields seem to be at odds usually – at least a perception I get from studying Geography, they are actually concerned about the same things. Though being biased to economics, I would say that environmentalist are sometimes to emotional about what they are doing and may exaggerate facts to attain their goals that would have lost their original purpose. Still, I suspect that we can still go wrong theoretically, so why not wait for implementation of ideas to see how things work first…

Kino Books

Exams are really over, in fact it has been quite some time since the final paper, though there’s still one more official A Levels examinations coming up. I have a pile of books at home, which I purchased long ago and didn’t bother to read and I decided that I probably won’t be reading them for the time being – I found more books that I want to read at this instant.

So there I was, spent more than 4 hours at Kinokuniya in Ngee Ann City, deciding which books to buy. The main stuff I picked were ‘Globalization and Its Discontents‘ & ‘Making Globalization Work‘, both by Joseph E. Stiglitz, ‘The Undercover Economist‘, by Tim Harford, ‘Collapse‘, by Jared Diamond and finally, ‘New Ideas from Dead Economists‘, by Todd G. Buchholz, with a foreword by Martin Feldstein.

If you happen to be surfing Amazon, with a calculator in your hand, you’ll probably discover that the books that I listed would amount somewhere to 300 SGD and there’s no chance I can finish all those within the limited time I currently have. Yes, non-fiction books take longer to read (more thinking and re-reading of paragraphs) as compared to fictions and they cost more. This happen to be verified by my reading of ‘For One More Day’ by Mitch Albom a few days back. I finished that seemingly thick book (it has big words, I mean literally) within a matter of hours – though it cost me about the same as the non-fictions I wanted. Eventually, taking into account the stuff I want to learn and know within the short time, I decided to purchase ‘The Undercover Economist‘ and ‘Globalization and Its Discontents‘, using up a few red notes in my wallet as well as 2 pieces of $20 vouchers my junior gave me.

This reading thing is really burning holes in my pocket, maybe I should just learn to be Gnosiophobic, as [implicitly] suggested by Wensi.

JC Economics

I have long wanted to produce a discourse on the problems with our Economics syllabus of the A Levels but this time I just happen to get the right amount of fuel for it. That’s after getting a really lousy score for an essay I have written that I was pretty proud of. The marker’s comments: “Recognise that you are well-read but exploration of crucial concepts needs more emphasis/details as required by the A Levels syllabus”.

So what can I say about that? True, I do have the knack for not defining terms I deem not worth defining, such as ‘Market Failure’, or ‘Public Goods’ and reading The Economist have trained me to give no attention to explanation of ‘simple but crucial’ concepts of occupational immobility or how negative externality arises (I cited a mere example for that). These are too insignificant compared to the point that I am arguing, that we cannot leave the allocation of economic resources to price mechanism alone. That’s dangerous. Too bad, the people, preoccupied with fulfilling the A Level syllabus, failed to allow students to pursue the true essence of Economics and thus have to force students to write out what they know (about extremely basic concepts) in order to give scores for that. That being true, even if we produce a college standard theory paper to answer the exact question in A Levels would probably fail the paper.

For Sciences, what we are learning is far from the stuff in the cutting edge of research and education can hardly catch up for students to be working on really profound stuff because this information are generally not that easily accessible. Unfortunately, for humanities, the exploration of further and more profound concepts by an ordinary student like me is possible with the publication and the fact that the subject can be elaborated and explained in much simpler languages even for rather advanced portions. This feature is derived from the very fact that Economics is fundamentally very basic common sense that has been tested and made into theories. As such, having reached higher and attempting to climb further, I have to let go of the rungs at the bottom and give up my existing position. This is a dilemma and I really hope things change with the introduction of Macro-economics that is even more all-encompassing.

Formalization of education has very much benefitted us in the education of sciences, but for the arts, perhaps we should receive much more freedom. Geography, and History, both do not require us to give explanation on how statistics lie or explain very fundamental concepts like why wars occur and why weathering arises. So I guess, we should not be expected to be explaining to our markers that negative externality can be defined in some way though it do not always apply and narrate some very textbooks stuff that do not support the main argument at all.

Population & Urbanization

These are the huge topics to be tested tomorrow while all the others are enjoying their post-promos celebrations. The Mathematics examination practice frustrations drove me into a series of frenzy gaming session (which includes the dumb Miniclip Table Tennis and Heli Attack 3). The gaming session continued today with the part-holiday mood since tomorrow is the alleged last paper (that’s to assume that Chemistry Mock SPA is nothing to do with promos). I have been working through the lectures over the whole year and gained a certain degree of enlightenment on the issue which I have decided to talk about as a pre-paper writing exercise.

The fundamental ideas beneath the whole ideas interweaving the two topics is the comparison between the EMDCs and the ELDCs. After going through all the materials, we can safely make a few generationalisations: ELDCs face problems because of very standard factors that combines in the worst possible way. These factors includes corrupt government, lack of education of citizens, uneven distribution of resources, income, resource allocation, investments, funding, infrastructural development. All these spatial biasness translates into the problem within the urbanisation processes. Population problems of the ELDCs shares similar factors that includes lack of educated citizens, and the social mindset, coupled with poor institutional policies in place to tackle problems.

In contrast, the EMDCs are always blessed with economic growth, even if it is a little stagnant, great governments, with well-established political system that facilitates economic growth (namely, market economy or capitalist) and they would already have the infrastructures in place to solve the problems. In fact, most of the time, they are not perceived as problems at all. Underlying all these great perks of EMDCs is the fundamental product of the social and economic change that has taken place over the past few centuries – fertility drop. Following this drop, the population to share the resources amongst falls and everyone has a bigger piece of the pie, as compared to the ELDCs. It is thus rather clear that low population and momentum in the first place do pave the way for development.

I always argue that the existing EMDCs, the rising economies (ie. Korea, Singapore & Hong Kong) and the ELDCs usually have rather different paths of development. The EMDC experience is one that is confined to arcane ideas with a weird concoction of traditionalist ‘classful’ society and modernization in the old-odd way. The rising economies, on the other hand, have their secret in staying small and confining areas to control and regulate. The result of these closed control, open trade and economy system usually allows for better moderation of growth (as in what is desirable and wanted is taken in and the bad stuff are either prevented from entering all eliminated all together). Of course, the rising economies owe the growth to their size, the indigenous Asian culture and values, in addition to their willingness to experiment with alternative styles of development.

The ELDCs, the last point on hand, tends to have very weak structures. These weak structures give rise to chaos and breeds more problems. Those experiencing rapid growth have this ‘old’ problem of pollution probably because of the level of technology in which they engage. Unfortunately, this engagement of technology is not homogenous because they manufacturing sectors are not labour intenstive enough. The result is increasing unemployment, population rising not proportionate to increase in tax revenues and thus more burden on government and hence more debt incurred. This downward spiral is something that can really happen if the existing balance is not sustained by the trust of debtor or their kindness and cause the nation to collapse entirely.

Then again, no one is offering any solutions – and who’s this kid here talking these bunch of crap anyway…

Population & Urbanization

These are the huge topics to be tested tomorrow while all the others are enjoying their post-promos celebrations. The Mathematics examination practice frustrations drove me into a series of frenzy gaming session (which includes the dumb Miniclip Table Tennis and Heli Attack 3). The gaming session continued today with the part-holiday mood since tomorrow is the alleged last paper (that’s to assume that Chemistry Mock SPA is nothing to do with promos). I have been working through the lectures over the whole year and gained a certain degree of enlightenment on the issue which I have decided to talk about as a pre-paper writing exercise.

The fundamental ideas beneath the whole ideas interweaving the two topics is the comparison between the EMDCs and the ELDCs. After going through all the materials, we can safely make a few generationalisations: ELDCs face problems because of very standard factors that combines in the worst possible way. These factors includes corrupt government, lack of education of citizens, uneven distribution of resources, income, resource allocation, investments, funding, infrastructural development. All these spatial biasness translates into the problem within the urbanisation processes. Population problems of the ELDCs shares similar factors that includes lack of educated citizens, and the social mindset, coupled with poor institutional policies in place to tackle problems.

In contrast, the EMDCs are always blessed with economic growth, even if it is a little stagnant, great governments, with well-established political system that facilitates economic growth (namely, market economy or capitalist) and they would already have the infrastructures in place to solve the problems. In fact, most of the time, they are not perceived as problems at all. Underlying all these great perks of EMDCs is the fundamental product of the social and economic change that has taken place over the past few centuries – fertility drop. Following this drop, the population to share the resources amongst falls and everyone has a bigger piece of the pie, as compared to the ELDCs. It is thus rather clear that low population and momentum in the first place do pave the way for development.

I always argue that the existing EMDCs, the rising economies (ie. Korea, Singapore & Hong Kong) and the ELDCs usually have rather different paths of development. The EMDC experience is one that is confined to arcane ideas with a weird concoction of traditionalist ‘classful’ society and modernization in the old-odd way. The rising economies, on the other hand, have their secret in staying small and confining areas to control and regulate. The result of these closed control, open trade and economy system usually allows for better moderation of growth (as in what is desirable and wanted is taken in and the bad stuff are either prevented from entering all eliminated all together). Of course, the rising economies owe the growth to their size, the indigenous Asian culture and values, in addition to their willingness to experiment with alternative styles of development.

The ELDCs, the last point on hand, tends to have very weak structures. These weak structures give rise to chaos and breeds more problems. Those experiencing rapid growth have this ‘old’ problem of pollution probably because of the level of technology in which they engage. Unfortunately, this engagement of technology is not homogenous because they manufacturing sectors are not labour intenstive enough. The result is increasing unemployment, population rising not proportionate to increase in tax revenues and thus more burden on government and hence more debt incurred. This downward spiral is something that can really happen if the existing balance is not sustained by the trust of debtor or their kindness and cause the nation to collapse entirely.

Then again, no one is offering any solutions – and who’s this kid here talking these bunch of crap anyway…

The Week

After struggling with W. H. Davies to argue the relevance of his view of life, strangling James Lovelock with the fallacious argument of doomsday, praising Frank Furedi’s optimistic take on ‘Necessity is the mother of Invention’, shooting down claims that the Airline Industry can be explained by Kinked Demand Curve or Price Leadership Model, whacking Adam Smith’s ‘Invisible Hand’ with John Keynes’ Feet, setting myself on fire by attempting to dissolve Lithium Aluminium Hydride in Water, and obtaining a mono-ester with the reaction between a di-hydroxy compound with an acyl chloride, pitting Willis against King in the weathering of Granite – or even worse, ignoring the formation of limestone pavements in temperate Karst landscapes, the week is finally over.

If you haven’t notice, the above is more of a sentence than a paragraph, that summarised what I did over this week’s weekdays. Promotion examinations is like tackling a dumb beast stuffed with irratic questions that stems from the syllabus that we follow and looking weird so that we freak out. I must admit I am not doing as well as expected and I guess carelessness played a huge part. The next and final papers are stuff which I am less confident about and hopefully, the carelessness no longer surface.

After the mad week, I took a little break by re-doing the banner on top of this site for a bit, making the eyes of the croc a larger and adding dumb words and a little more colours. Someone told me to add a tagboard here – something which I tried long ago but then spam was simply getting out of hand, so no more tagboard/crapbox here.

Buffet & Scarcity

Given that I am having Economics tomorrow, I thought it would be interesting to pen something that implicates the fundamental ideas of Economics that I conceived while surfing (and not mugging) the net.

Economics, as we are taught, is the study of how humans deal with the problem of ‘Scarcity’, how we allocate resources to achieve maximal efficiency and make everyone happy. The problem of ‘Scarcity’, in turn, arises from the fact that limited resources that we have cannot satisfy the unlimited wants that we have. In view of that, we have to make choices and decide to work with only a limited number of wants satisfied. Today, we live as though the problem of ‘Scarcity’ has been solved and Economics essay question constantly trick us with lame questions like ‘Discuss if economic growth is able to solve the problem of ‘Scarcity”. It turns out that we may have been wrong all the time – the problem of ‘Scarcity’ that arises naturally have been solved. To explain, the problem we are facing now is one that involves the creation of demands/wants.

The basis of this problem of ‘Scarcity’ has a few dimenstions – time period, the idea of ‘unlimited wants’ and perhaps the problem of want-creation. To begin, time period is extremely important because the statement on scarcity is made based on the ‘long run’ perspective. In short run, scarcity can cease to be a problem, or don’t even arise at all: just imagine the last time when you had a Buffet dinner, where you have finished stuffing yourself and continue to see the endless plates of food being stocked and replenished. For that moment, everyone would have decided that there’s no such thing as scarcity. But as mentioned, it is only for that moment, in long run (or a few hours after you walk out of the restaurant), you will experience the scarcity we seek to study in Economics. So, in long run, scarcity must prevail because the need for certain basic stuff/wants must prevail. Hey, wait a minute, most of the basic wants for survival are replenishable by the Earth’s system – so I guess under primitive conditions, the problem still doesn’t arise even in long run.

At this point, we have already considered part of the idea of ‘unlimited wants’. There’s a great deal of problem with this assumption that we have unlimited wants. We cannot say that we all strive for ever higher standards of living. The reason why people at this point of time strives for that is because it is possible, at least for some people and the results of such luxury are glaringly pleasurable. However, our imagination of a higher standard of living that have yet to exist do not motivate us to strive for that as much as one that already exist but is currently not obtainable at personal level. As such, we can easily say that it is inequality that furthers the problem of want-creation and thus worsens the problem of scarcity with the creation of endless wants. As decided, wants are finite within a time period, and in fact, the wants of a person, within his lifespan, must be finite, at least by default. Unfortunately, this assumption of unlimited, or infinite wants exist because of the fact that there’s a want-creation mechanism driving everything – inequality, advertising and perhaps imperfect information.

Having mentioned that, the want-creation mechanism that stems from production (advertising) is the key player accounting for this ‘unlimited wants’ that we are facing in long run. This is just like when we are really bloated after 5 ‘second-servings’ in a Buffet and decides that we’ll have a final go with that Cheese-baked Salmon that just arrived at the food counter – just to make sure our money is well-spent. As John Locke have argued, we all have a finite capacity for consumption (or ‘real consumption’) but the fact that we can accumulate wealth enables us to ‘purchase without real consumption of the good’. To be able to accumulate wealth is like to be able to accumulate hunger before a buffet and thus the capacity to consume. This allows the want-creation mechanism to work because you can hold far more food than you should be able to when you have ‘accumluated hunger’ (that is, assuming you can) and new dishes will be able to tempt you continually.

Such, undermines the whole idea of the problem of ‘Scarcity’. We, as beings of intellect, have invented means of allowing over[false]consumption and want creation. Even when you don’t need that tiny amount of marginal benefit, the fact that you had all the initial wants satisfied pushes you to take it; similarly, though you are bloated, the thought that you can make your money more worthed it motivates you to take the salmon. Inequality, which I have deemed inevitable, together with the Imperfect Information, operates naturally to further the problem of want-creation – the glaring inequality irrationalizes the people, and limited information makes them think that the higher living standards only does them good, ultimately increasing the demand and furthering the problem of ‘Scarcity’.

We are, far from solving the problem we have created ourselves and not the one that arises naturally, but that’s probably a problem to sustain the congregation of man in bid to prove the improvements can be made with a more unified system. The Undercover Economist had an interesting Introduction, which I read in the bookstore, as predicted by Tim Harford himself. It narrated a basic argument in support of the statement, ‘No Man is an Island’ and it has illustrated, quite nicely, the good that the economic system has brought us that is inconceivable when our ancestors were still foraging for tree roots [and checking if they are edible]. The problem, is that we had to sustain the growth, unfortunately, by keeping the demand alive, making it truly endless and unlimited, to keep up with depletion and thus continuing the problem of ‘Scarcity’ to justify the existence of the economy. Or perhaps, the whole point of this ever increasing demand stems from some hedonistic concept that is probably a product of the notion of unlimited demands and thus a cyclic argument that economic theories often ends up in (just like the kinked demand curve).

I have, in this essay, addressed the evolution of the problem of ‘Scarcity’ at this age and outlined the justification for this problem to prevail. It appears, then that our decendents would eventually have to end up with the dilemma of whether to preserve for the new beings that comes or just simply live like there’s no tomorrow (something we have truly embraced at the turn of the century – besides the escalated environmental concerns that do not exactly translate into actions*). It is perhaps then, time to turn back to mugging and maybe thinking a little more about Economic stuff that goes way beyond our Sloman-Concepts and Parkins-Notions.

*Maybe it would be better for Bjorn Lomborg to address that